What are the odds on France right now?

The most traded live market is "Highest temperature in Paris on November 6?", where 12°C is priced at 44.5% as of November 6, 2026. 37 live markets mention France.

How do I bet on France?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

France: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning France, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning France

Total volume

$8.8M

across live markets

Most traded

45%

12°C in "Highest temperature in Paris on November 6?"

Live markets about France

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? closes November 6, 2026	12°C	44.5%	+14.5	$23K
France declares state of emergency by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	5.5%	-1.0	$2.7M
Highest temperature in Paris on November 7? closes November 7, 2026	11°C	38.0%	0.0	$6K
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? closes April 19, 2027	Marine Le Pen	90.0%	+0.5	$533K
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...? closes April 1, 2027	March 31	4.4%	-0.3	$52K
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? closes April 18, 2027	Dominique de Villepin	82.0%	-1.0	$131K
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? closes July 1, 2027	Jean-Luc Mélenchon	96.3%	-0.3	$658K
French Presidential Election First Round Winner closes April 18, 2027	Marine Le Pen	85.0%	0.0	$104K
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026? closes November 1, 2026	32M+	97.2%	+0.9	$79K
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place closes April 18, 2027	Candidate A	50.0%	0.0	$93K
EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026? closes January 1, 2027	30M+	78.5%	0.0	$46K
Macron out by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	2.4%	+0.2	$2.3M
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? closes December 31, 2026	Yes	52.0%	-11.0	$26K
Lowest temperature in Paris on November 7? closes November 7, 2026	5°C	33.5%	0.0	$427
Lecornu out as French PM by...? closes October 11, 2026	December 31, 2026	13.5%	-2.0	$371K
French election called by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	5.5%	+1.5	$1.1M
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	7.2%	+4.0	$3K
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round? closes April 19, 2027	Yes	5.1%	-1.1	$5K
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête? closes April 18, 2027	Zemmour	86.4%	+8.6	$8K
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	30M+	90.0%	-2.0	$39K
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? closes December 1, 2026	Yes	4.5%	-0.5	$35K
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...? closes January 1, 2027	November 30, 2026	8.0%	-1.5	$10K
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place closes April 18, 2027	Candidate A	50.0%	0.0	$43K
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...? closes December 1, 2026	November 30	31.0%	-17.5	$28K
European military action against Iran by...? closes December 31, 2026	December 31	6.0%	-1.0	$342K
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...? closes December 31, 2026	December 31	6.2%	-1.6	$17K
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? closes January 1, 2028	Yes	8.0%	0.0	$20K
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? closes April 18, 2027	Yes	10.0%	0.0	$3K
French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials? closes March 13, 2027	Person 1	50.0%	0.0	$7K
IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	25.5%	0.0	$8K
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe closes April 18, 2027	Édouard Philippe	65.0%	-1.0	$11K
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...? closes April 17, 2027	April 17, 2027	25.6%	0.0	$8K
Lowest temperature in Paris on November 7? closes November 7, 2026	-1°C or below	50.0%	0.0	$0
Highest temperature in Paris on November 7? closes November 7, 2026	4°C or below	50.0%	0.0	$0
Lowest temperature in Paris on November 6? closes November 6, 2026	-1°C or below	50.0%	0.0	$0
Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? closes November 6, 2026	4°C or below	50.0%	0.0	$0
Lowest temperature in Paris on November 5? closes November 5, 2026	4°C	50.0%	0.0	$0

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
Highest temperature in Paris on November 5? November 5, 2026	11°C	$54K
Lowest temperature in Paris on November 5? November 5, 2026	4°C	$5K
France United Left Primary Winner October 12, 2026	Canceled	$271K
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee October 10, 2026	Raphael Glucksmann	$103K
2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France: Top 3 April 13, 2026	Tadej Pogačar	$57K
Paris Mayoral Election March 31, 2026	Emmanuel Grégoire	$6
Another France debt downgrade by December 31? December 31, 2025	Yes	$29K
Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition December 31, 2025	No	$23K
France debt downgrade by December 31? December 31, 2025	Yes	$11K
Next French Prime Minister December 31, 2025	Other	$1.4M
Next French Prime Minister December 31, 2025	Sébastien Lecornu	$275K
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. France June 8, 2025	France	$257K

About this page

Government, Macron and election markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on France right now?: The most traded live market is "Highest temperature in Paris on November 6?", where 12°C is priced at 44.5% as of November 6, 2026. 37 live markets mention France.
How do I bet on France?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.