How did "Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition" resolve?

It resolved No around December 31, 2025.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 61.5% one day before close, 69.0% one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition

Resolved market scorecard

Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition: result and scorecard

Name: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 61.5%; a week before, 69.0%. $23K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved October 6, 2025

Price 1 day before

61.5%

Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

69.0%

30 days before: –

Volume

$23K

1 outcome

France Global Elections Economy 2025 Predictions Politics

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$23K
No	WON	$23K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 62% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 19, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - French election called - Macron out as President of France - Lecornu out as French PM - Another France debt downgrade Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/France1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/France2.png

Frequently asked questions

How did "Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition" resolve?: It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 61.5% one day before close, 69.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $23K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.