LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / France United Left Primary Winner
Resolved market scorecard

France United Left Primary Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved Canceled. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 94.0%; a week before, 92.7%. $271K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Canceled
resolved October 18, 2026

Price 1 day before

94.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

92.7%
30 days before: 91.9%

Volume

$271K
25 outcomes

PoliticsfrenchGlobal ElectionsFranceElections

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
CanceledWON$116K
Marine TondelierLOST$54K
Lydie MassardLOST$47K
François RuffinLOST$38K
Clémentine AutainLOST$10K
Benjamin Lucas-LundyLOST$6K
OtherLOST$0
Placeholder CLOST$0
Placeholder DLOST$0
Placeholder ELOST$0
Placeholder FLOST$0
Placeholder GLOST$0
Placeholder HLOST$0
Placeholder ILOST$0
Placeholder JLOST$0
Placeholder KLOST$0
Placeholder LLOST$0
Placeholder MLOST$0
Placeholder NLOST$0
Placeholder OLOST$0
Placeholder PLOST$0
Placeholder QLOST$0
Placeholder RLOST$0
Placeholder SLOST$0
Placeholder TLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-0607-2810-18
CanceledMarine TondelierLydie MassardFrançois Ruffin
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 94% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

How did "France United Left Primary Winner" resolve?
It resolved Canceled around October 12, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 94.0% one day before close, 92.7% one week before and 91.9% one month before.
How much was traded?
$271K across 25 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.