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Resolved market scorecard

Next French Prime Minister: result and scorecard

Resolved Other. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $1.4M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Other
resolved October 11, 2025

Price 1 day before

–
Unknown

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$1.4M
53 outcomes

FranceWorld

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
OtherWON$10K
No new PMLOST$272K
Élisabeth BorneLOST$162K
Jean-Luc MélenchonLOST$139K
Jordan BardellaLOST$102K
Election calledLOST$96K
Éric ZemmourLOST$73K
Olivier FaureLOST$53K
Jean-Louis BorlooLOST$49K
Bernard CazeneuveLOST$42K
Gérald DarmaninLOST$37K
Laurent WauquiezLOST$32K
Gérard LarcherLOST$28K
Gabriel AttalLOST$28K
David LisnardLOST$27K
Yaël Braun-PivetLOST$26K
Xavier BertrandLOST$25K
Lucie CastetsLOST$25K
François BayrouLOST$21K
Jean CastexLOST$21K
Catherine VautrinLOST$18K
Éric LombardLOST$17K
Pierre MoscoviciLOST$17K
Thierry BeaudetLOST$17K
Roland LescureLOST$17K
Bruno RetailleauLOST$17K
Boris VallaudLOST$12K
Valérie PécresseLOST$9K
Person BLOST$0
Person CLOST$0
Person DLOST$0
Person ELOST$0
Person FLOST$0
Person GLOST$0
Person HLOST$0
Person ILOST$0
Person JLOST$0
Person KLOST$0
Person LLOST$0
Person MLOST$0
Person NLOST$0
Person OLOST$0
Person PLOST$0
Person QLOST$0
Person RLOST$0
Person SLOST$0
Person TLOST$0
Person ULOST$0
Person VLOST$0
Person WLOST$0
Person XLOST$0
Person YLOST$0
Person ZLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-0710-0910-11
No new PMÉlisabeth BorneJean-Luc Mélenchon
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of France, succeeding Sébastien Lecornu,. Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”. If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next French Prime Minister" resolve?
It resolved Other around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.4M across 53 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.