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Resolved market scorecard

Paris Mayoral Election: result and scorecard

Resolved Emmanuel Grégoire. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 83.5%; a week before, 94.0%. $6 traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Emmanuel Grégoire
resolved March 23, 2026

Price 1 day before

83.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

94.0%
30 days before: 71.0%

Volume

$6
48 outcomes

French ElectionsParis ElectionPoliticsGlobal ElectionsWorld Elections

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Emmanuel GrégoireWON$0
Éric GrégoireOPEN$6
Rachida DatiLOST$0
Pierre-Yves BournazelLOST$0
David BelliardLOST$0
Sophia ChikirouLOST$0
Thierry MarianiLOST$0
Sarah KnafoLOST$0
Person 2LOST$0
Person 3LOST$0
Person 4LOST$0
Person 5LOST$0
Person 6LOST$0
Person 7LOST$0
Person 8LOST$0
Person 9LOST$0
Person 10LOST$0
Person 11LOST$0
Person 12LOST$0
Person 13LOST$0
Person 14LOST$0
Person 15LOST$0
Person 16LOST$0
Person 17LOST$0
Person 18LOST$0
Person 19LOST$0
Person 20LOST$0
Person 21LOST$0
Person 22LOST$0
Person 23LOST$0
Person 24LOST$0
Person 25LOST$0
Person 26LOST$0
Person 27LOST$0
Person 28LOST$0
Person 29LOST$0
Person 30LOST$0
Person 31LOST$0
Person 32LOST$0
Person 33LOST$0
Person 34LOST$0
Person 35LOST$0
Person 36LOST$0
Person 37LOST$0
Person 38LOST$0
Person 39LOST$0
Person 40LOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-2301-0603-23
Emmanuel GrégoireRachida DatiPierre-Yves Bournazel
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 84% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Frequently asked questions

How did "Paris Mayoral Election" resolve?
It resolved Emmanuel Grégoire around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 83.5% one day before close, 94.0% one week before and 71.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$6 across 48 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.