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Prediction markets: live odds, ranked by volume
Every market below links to its own page with all outcomes, a price chart and resolution rules. Prices are probabilities: 30¢ means about a 30% chance.
Markets listed
58
most active by 24h volume
24h volume
$48.0M
across listed markets
Most active markets right now
| Market | Favorite | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Esports · league of legends · closes November 6, 2026 | Under | 57.5% | 0.0 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens Sports · NFL (All) · closes November 6, 2026 | Jaguars | 98.2% | +16.7 |
| Fed Decision in December? Fed · fomc · closes December 10, 2026 | 25 bps increase | 65.5% | -12.0 |
| Magic vs. Suns Sports · NBA · closes November 6, 2026 | Suns | 80.5% | +28.0 |
| Heat vs. Warriors Sports · NBA · closes November 6, 2026 | Heat | 55.5% | +21.0 |
| Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Main Election · Israel Election · closes October 28, 2026 | Gadi Eizenkot | 63.3% | +6.7 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Iran · Israel · closes December 31, 2026 | November 6 | 98.4% | +2.7 |
| Alaska Senate Election Winner Alaska Midterm · Senate Elections · closes November 4, 2026 | Mary Peltola (D) | 97.4% | +3.5 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Bitcoin · Yearly · closes January 1, 2027 | ↓ 70,000 | 51.5% | +22.0 |
| Mississippi Senate Election Winner Mississippi Midterm · Senate Elections · closes November 4, 2026 | Scott Colom (D) | 98.1% | +0.8 |
| Bitcoin above ___ on November 6? Bitcoin · Weekly · closes November 6, 2026 | 72,000 | 97.6% | -1.9 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic Sports · CFB (All) · closes November 6, 2026 | Florida Atlantic | 71.5% | +42.0 |
| Worlds 2026: Winner lol · Sports · closes November 29, 2026 | Gen.G | 53.5% | +1.0 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in November? Bitcoin · Monthly · closes December 1, 2026 | ↓ 75,000 | 85.5% | +39.0 |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? Culture · Politics · closes November 6, 2026 | 280-299 | 70.7% | +46.3 |
| NBA: 2027 Champion NBA Finals · NBA · closes July 1, 2027 | San Antonio Spurs | 22.5% | 0.0 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8? Crypto · Crypto Prices · closes November 9, 2026 | ↑ 78,000 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss Sports · CFB (All) · closes November 6, 2026 | James Madison | 90.5% | +7.0 |
| US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? Iran · Trump · closes January 1, 2027 | November 6 | 95.5% | +5.0 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs Esports · counter strike 2 · closes November 6, 2026 | Natus Vincere | 70.5% | -1.0 |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) Politics · election · closes November 3, 2026 | None | 96.7% | +2.4 |
| Ducks vs. Oilers Sports · NHL · closes November 6, 2026 | Ducks | 95.5% | +58.1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Iran · Trump · closes January 1, 2027 | March 31 | 69.5% | -0.5 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Trump Cabinet · Geopolitics · closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 43.5% | -6.0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Military Strikes · Politics · closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 12.5% | +1.0 |
| What price will Ethereum hit November 2-8? Ethereum · Weekly · closes November 9, 2026 | ↓ 2,200 | 71.0% | +62.5 |
| Largest Company end of December 2026? Economy · Business · closes January 1, 2027 | Apple | 67.2% | +9.8 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by...? putin · Geopolitics · closes July 1, 2027 | June 30, 2027 | 8.5% | 0.0 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? resign · Hegseth · closes December 1, 2026 | Yes | 27.5% | -7.0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Iran · US-Iran · closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 9.5% | +3.0 |
| What price will Ethereum hit in November? Ethereum · Monthly · closes December 1, 2026 | ↓ 2,200 | 88.5% | +43.0 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? Politics · Trump · closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 3.3% | -0.3 |
| What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? Finance · Monthly · closes December 1, 2026 | ↑ $95 | 74.5% | +23.5 |
| Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? Politics · Trump · closes January 1, 2027 | Pete Hegseth | 42.0% | -11.0 |
| NC-03 House Election Winner Politics · Elections · closes November 4, 2026 | Raymond Smith Jr. (D) | 76.3% | -0.4 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap Finance · Big Tech · closes January 1, 2028 | $1.5–$1.75T | 29.3% | +6.2 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Esports · league of legends · closes November 7, 2026 | T1 | 82.5% | 0.0 |
| Predators vs. Avalanche Sports · NHL · closes November 6, 2026 | Avalanche | 51.5% | -15.0 |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner Taiwan · Politics · closes November 29, 2026 | Chiang Wan-an | 67.5% | -2.0 |
| Ethereum above ___ on November 6? Ethereum · Weekly · closes November 6, 2026 | 2,100 | 97.6% | -1.6 |
| Anthropic IPO by __? Finance · IPO · closes January 1, 2027 | December 31, 2026 | 69.5% | -21.8 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Geopolitics · Ukraine Peace Deal · closes December 31, 2026 | December 31, 2027 | 41.5% | -12.0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Reza Pahlavi · Iran Regime · closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 2.8% | -0.6 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? Politics · Supreme Court · closes July 1, 2027 | June 30, 2027 | 20.0% | -7.0 |
| Netanyahu out by...? Geopolitics · World · closes January 1, 2027 | June 30, 2027 | 60.5% | +18.0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by...? Iran · close · closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 26.5% | +3.5 |
| US imports Russian diesel by...? Oil · Trump · closes April 1, 2027 | March 31 | 22.0% | 0.0 |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec · Fed Rates · closes January 1, 2027 | 0 (0 bps) | 97.2% | -0.6 |
| Bitcoin above ___ on November 7? Bitcoin · Weekly · closes November 7, 2026 | 72,000 | 96.9% | -2.5 |
| What price will XRP hit in November? XRP · Ripple · closes December 1, 2026 | ↑ 1.40 | 37.5% | -23.5 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Esports · league of legends · closes November 8, 2026 | Gen.G | 80.5% | +1.0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Politics · ships · closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 10.5% | 0.0 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Fed · Economy · closes December 10, 2026 | Yes | 65.5% | -12.0 |
| Iran leadership change by...? Politics · Iran · closes July 1, 2027 | June 30, 2027 | 24.5% | +0.5 |
| What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Ethereum · Hit Price · closes January 1, 2027 | ↓ 2,000 | 46.0% | +19.5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Politics · Russia · closes July 1, 2027 | December 31, 2027 | 69.0% | -1.5 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs Esports · counter strike 2 · closes November 6, 2026 | FURIA | 65.5% | 0.0 |
| CA-23 House Election Winner Politics · Elections · closes November 4, 2026 | Jay Obernolte (R) | 88.2% | +10.7 |
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the most traded prediction markets today?
- As of November 6, 2026 the most active is "LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs" with $18.4M traded in 24 hours, followed by "Jaguars vs. Ravens".
- How often is this list updated?
- Prices and volumes are refreshed every few minutes from the Polymarket API. Each market has its own page with full price history and rules.
- Are these odds or probabilities?
- Prediction market prices read directly as probabilities: a Yes share at 30¢ implies roughly a 30% chance. Unlike sportsbook odds there is no built-in vig, but spreads and fees still apply.