Live market data
Largest Company end of December 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Apple at 67.0%, ahead of NVIDIA at 32.0%. $9.8M traded across 8 outcomes.
Favorite
67.0%
Apple · Trade →
24h move
+9.6
pts · 7d +24.6
Volume
$9.8M
24h $243K · liquidity $1.1M
Closes
January 1, 2027
56 days left
EconomyBusinessFinanceTechBig Tech
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Apple | 67.0% | +9.6 |
| NVIDIA | 32.0% | -9.0 |
| Microsoft | 1.1% | +0.4 |
| Alphabet | 0.4% | -0.4 |
| SpaceX | 0.2% | +0.1 |
| Tesla | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Aramco | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Amazon | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:25 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Price history
AppleNVIDIAMicrosoftAlphabet
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
How to read this market
Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Apple at 67% risks 67¢ to win 33¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Largest Company end of December 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Apple is the favorite at 67.0%, followed by NVIDIA at 32.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $9.8M in total and $243K in the last 24 hours, with about $1.1M of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.