Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Gadi Eizenkot at 63.2%, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu at 23.4%. $87.9M traded across 21 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPoliticsMiddle EastIsrael
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 63.2% | +6.6 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 23.4% | -6.8 |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 6.6% | +2.1 |
| Naftali Bennett | 2.5% | -1.1 |
| Yair Lapid | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Benny Gantz | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Yossi Cohen | 0.1% | -0.5 |
| Yair Golan | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| Israel Katz | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Amir Ohana | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Aviv Kohavi | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Daniel Hagari | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Yariv Levin | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Moshe Feiglin | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Ayelet Shaked | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Yoaz Hendel | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Nir Barkat | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Gilad Erdan | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Ofer Winter | 0.1% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Gadi Eizenkot is the favorite at 63.2%, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu at 23.4%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on October 28, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $87.9M in total and $1.2M in the last 24 hours, with about $3.7M of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.