Anthropic IPO by __?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is December 31, 2026 at 70.8%, ahead of December 15, 2026 at 68.5%. $6.6M traded across 12 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
FinanceIPOAnthropic IPOAnthropicIPOs
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 70.8% | -20.3 |
| December 15, 2026 | 68.5% | -19.0 |
| November 30, 2026 | 61.5% | -20.0 |
| November 25, 2026 | 53.5% | -19.5 |
| November 24, 2026 | 50.5% | -17.0 |
| November 23, 2026 | 43.5% | -15.0 |
| November 20, 2026 | 40.5% | -16.0 |
| November 19, 2026 | 31.5% | -4.0 |
| November 18, 2026 | 18.5% | 0.0 |
| November 17, 2026 | 17.5% | +7.0 |
| November 16, 2026 | 8.3% | +5.5 |
| November 15, 2026 | 3.5% | +1.8 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Anthropic IPO by __?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2026 is the favorite at 70.8%, followed by December 15, 2026 at 68.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $6.6M in total and $151K in the last 24 hours, with about $100K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.