What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is ↓ 70,000 at 54.5%, ahead of ↓ 65,000 at 31.5%. $82.4M traded across 30 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
BitcoinYearlyHit PriceCrypto PricesCrypto
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| ↓ 70,000 | 54.5% | +25.0 |
| ↓ 65,000 | 31.5% | +14.0 |
| ↑ 90,000 | 23.5% | -18.0 |
| ↓ 60,000 | 17.5% | +5.0 |
| ↑ 95,000 | 11.5% | -12.0 |
| ↓ 55,000 | 11.5% | +3.0 |
| ↑ 100,000 | 8.5% | -5.0 |
| ↓ 50,000 | 7.5% | +1.0 |
| ↓ 45,000 | 4.8% | +2.3 |
| ↑ 110,000 | 3.9% | -0.7 |
| ↑ 120,000 | 3.5% | +0.3 |
| ↑ 130,000 | 2.1% | -0.2 |
| ↓ 30,000 | 1.9% | -0.1 |
| ↓ 40,000 | 1.8% | -0.5 |
| ↑ 140,000 | 1.7% | -0.1 |
| ↑ 150,000 | 1.6% | +0.1 |
| ↓ 35,000 | 1.6% | -0.5 |
| ↓ 25,000 | 1.6% | -0.1 |
| ↑ 160,000 | 1.5% | -0.1 |
| ↑ 180,000 | 1.3% | +0.2 |
| ↑ 170,000 | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| ↑ 190,000 | 0.9% | -0.1 |
| ↓ 20,000 | 0.8% | +0.3 |
| ↓ 15,000 | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| ↑ 200,000 | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| ↓ 10,000 | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| ↑ 500,000 | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| ↑ 250,000 | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| ↓ 5,000 | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| ↑ 1,000,000 | 0.1% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 01:57 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, ↓ 70,000 is the favorite at 54.5%, followed by ↓ 65,000 at 31.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $82.4M in total and $751K in the last 24 hours, with about $4.1M of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.