What are the odds that Trump out as President before 2027?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 3.3% and No at 96.8%, on $14.2M of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$14.2M in total and $215K in the last 24 hours, with about $303K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Trump out as President before 2027?

Live market data

Trump out as President before 2027?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Trump out as President before 2027? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 3.3% (-0.5 pts in 24h). $14.2M has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:25 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

3.3%

No 96.8% · Trade →

24h move

-0.5

pts · 7d -0.7

Volume

$14.2M

24h $215K · liquidity $303K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Politics Trump Geopolitics Elections Epstein

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	3.3%	-0.5	-0.7	$14.2M	0.1¢
No	96.8%	+0.5	+0.7	$14.2M	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:25 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 3% risks 3¢ to win 97¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Trump out as President before 2027?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 3.3% and No at 96.8%, on $14.2M of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $14.2M in total and $215K in the last 24 hours, with about $303K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.