Heat vs. Warriors: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Warriors at 61.5%, ahead of Heat at 38.5%. $1.5M traded across 478 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game (top 60 of 478 by volume)
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Warriors moneyline | Heat 38.5% | Warriors 61.5% |
| Spread -6.5 spreads | Warriors 40.5% | Heat 59.5% |
| Spread -7.5 spreads | Warriors 37.5% | Heat 62.5% |
| Spread -3.5 spreads | Warriors 51.5% | Heat 48.5% |
| O/U 233.5 totals | Over 54.5% | Under 45.5% |
| O/U 235.5 totals | Over 49.5% | Under 50.5% |
| Spread -5.5 spreads | Warriors 44.0% | Heat 56.0% |
| Spread -4.5 spreads | Warriors 46.5% | Heat 53.5% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 first half totals | Over 52.0% | Under 48.0% |
| Spread -8.5 spreads | Warriors 34.5% | Heat 65.5% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 first half totals | Over 54.5% | Under 45.5% |
| O/U 236.5 totals | Over 47.5% | Under 52.5% |
| Spread -22.5 spreads | Warriors 6.5% | Heat 93.5% |
| O/U 234.5 totals | Over 51.5% | Under 48.5% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5 rebounds | Yes 48.5% | No 51.5% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5 assists | Yes 58.5% | No 41.5% |
| Spread -9.5 spreads | Warriors 32.0% | Heat 68.0% |
| Spread -26.5 spreads | Warriors 3.2% | Heat 96.8% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5 points | Yes 57.5% | No 42.5% |
| O/U 237.5 totals | Over 44.5% | Under 55.5% |
| Spread -3.5 spreads | Heat 31.5% | Warriors 68.5% |
| Spread -1.5 spreads | Heat 37.0% | Warriors 63.0% |
| Spread -23.5 spreads | Heat 1.7% | Warriors 98.4% |
| Spread -28.5 spreads | Warriors 1.8% | Heat 98.2% |
| Spread -1.5 spreads | Warriors 58.5% | Heat 41.5% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5 points | Yes 35.5% | No 64.5% |
| O/U 223.5 totals | Over 75.0% | Under 25.0% |
| Spread -7.5 spreads | Heat 21.5% | Warriors 78.5% |
| Spread -10.5 spreads | Warriors 29.5% | Heat 70.5% |
| Spread -20.5 spreads | Warriors 10.5% | Heat 89.5% |
| Spread -2.5 spreads | Warriors 55.5% | Heat 44.5% |
| O/U 231.5 totals | Over 59.0% | Under 41.0% |
| Spread -5.5 spreads | Heat 26.0% | Warriors 74.0% |
| Will Richard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 rebounds | Yes 43.0% | No 57.0% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 26.5 points | Yes 52.5% | No 47.5% |
| Spread -12.5 spreads | Warriors 24.5% | Heat 75.5% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 rebounds | Yes 43.0% | No 57.0% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 rebounds | Yes 42.0% | No 58.0% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 points | Yes 31.0% | No 69.0% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 first half totals | Over 48.5% | Under 51.5% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 threes | Yes 21.5% | No 78.5% |
| O/U 239.5 totals | Over 40.5% | Under 59.5% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 10.5 rebounds | Yes 53.5% | No 46.5% |
| Spread -9.5 spreads | Heat 16.0% | Warriors 84.0% |
| Spread -14.5 spreads | Warriors 20.0% | Heat 80.0% |
| Spread -18.5 spreads | Warriors 12.0% | Heat 88.0% |
| O/U 241.5 totals | Over 36.5% | Under 63.5% |
| 1H Moneyline first half moneyline | Heat 40.5% | Warriors 59.5% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 points | Yes 7.0% | No 93.0% |
| O/U 247.5 totals | Over 26.0% | Under 74.0% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 28.5 points | Yes 47.0% | No 53.0% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 assists | Yes 17.5% | No 82.5% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 points | Yes 9.0% | No 91.0% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 9.5 points | Yes 49.5% | No 50.5% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5 assists | Yes 54.0% | No 46.0% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.5 points | Yes 3.5% | No 96.5% |
| O/U 229.5 totals | Over 62.5% | Under 37.5% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5 points | Yes 59.0% | No 41.0% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 29.5 points | Yes 40.5% | No 59.5% |
| Spread -24.5 spreads | Warriors 5.5% | Heat 94.5% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
In the upcoming NBA game between Heat and Warriors, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game between Heat and Warriors, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 24 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Warriors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Heat vs. Warriors"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Warriors is the favorite at 61.5%, followed by Spread -28.5 · Heat at 98.2%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 6, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $1.5M in total and $1.5M in the last 24 hours, with about $5.2M of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.