What are the odds on Venezuela right now?

The most traded live market is "Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner", where María Corina Machado is priced at 67.5% as of November 6, 2026. 36 live markets mention Venezuela.

How do I bet on Venezuela?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

Venezuela: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Venezuela, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning Venezuela

Total volume

$44.5M

across live markets

Most traded

68%

María Corina Machado in "Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner"

Live markets about Venezuela

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner closes January 1, 2030	María Corina Machado	67.5%	+14.0	$68K
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Lebanon	5.5%	0.0	$987K
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Portugal	10.7%	-0.8	$696K
US strike on Colombia by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	14.5%	+3.5	$2.3M
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	3.3%	-0.4	$3.7M
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...? closes January 1, 2027	March 31, 2027	37.0%	+14.5	$674K
US military action against Cuba by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	7.5%	0.0	$7.7M
Miss Universe 2026 Winner? closes November 25, 2026	Country 1	50.0%	0.0	$11K
Maduro Prison Time? closes January 1, 2028	No prison time	54.5%	-6.0	$1.1M
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.0%	-0.9	$157K
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	7.5%	+1.0	$661K
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	3.3%	+0.3	$2.3M
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	3.0%	-0.1	$93K
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	1.9%	+0.1	$2.7M
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	4.5%	0.0	$297K
Copa America 2028 Host closes June 1, 2028	Country A	50.0%	0.0	$7K
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	2.4%	-0.1	$14.2M
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026? closes December 31, 2026	Delcy Rodríguez	95.3%	-0.2	$442K
Miss Universe 2026: Second Place closes November 25, 2026	Country 1	50.0%	0.0	$11K
Miss Universe 2026: Third Place closes November 25, 2026	Country 1	50.0%	0.0	$6K
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	1.9%	-1.1	$1.4M
Caracas FC vs. Academia Puerto Cabello closes November 7, 2026	Academia Puerto Cabello	41.0%	-8.0	$16
Maduro guilty of all counts? closes January 1, 2028	Yes	34.5%	+2.0	$133K
US strike on Mexico by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	3.1%	-0.1	$3.5M
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026? closes March 1, 2027	1.2m	57.0%	-0.5	$189K
US x Cuba economic deal by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	6.5%	-3.0	$447K
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	1.8%	0.0	$203K
Will US annex any territory in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	3.5%	-0.1	$159K
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	13.5%	0.0	$125K
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	17.0%	0.0	$95K
Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	6.0%	0.0	$13K
María Corina Machado arrested before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	7.5%	+0.5	$1K
Venezuelan Primera División: 2026 Runner-Up closes January 1, 2027	Monagas	50.5%	+1.5	$367
Venezuelan Primera División: 2026 Winner closes January 1, 2027	Monagas	49.0%	+1.5	$350
Russia vs. Venezuela closes November 17, 2026	Russia	73.0%	+23.5	$0
Monagas SC vs. Deportivo Tachira closes November 7, 2026	Deportivo Tachira	48.0%	-1.5	$0

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? January 1, 2027	December 31	$6.9M
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...? June 30, 2026	Closed	$4.2M
US forces enter Venezuela again by...? June 30, 2026	June 30	$3.1M
US x Venezuela military engagement by...? March 31, 2026	March 31, 2026	$87.4M
US forces in Venezuela by...? March 31, 2026	January 31	$9.4M
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31? March 31, 2026	Yes	$241K
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31? March 31, 2026	Yes	$75K
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31? March 31, 2026	No	$53K
Another US strike on Venezuela by...? January 31, 2026	December 31	$2.7M
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? January 31, 2026	No	$1.9M
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by...? January 31, 2026	January 31	$1.7M
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? January 31, 2026	Yes	$599K

About this page

Maduro and US action markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Venezuela right now?: The most traded live market is "Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner", where María Corina Machado is priced at 67.5% as of November 6, 2026. 36 live markets mention Venezuela.
How do I bet on Venezuela?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.