Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Portugal at 11.5%, ahead of Saudi Arabia at 9.0%. $696K traded across 20 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
PoliticsTrumpWorldGeopoliticsForeign Policy
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 11.5% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Arabia | 9.0% | +1.5 |
| Germany | 8.5% | -3.0 |
| South Korea | 8.0% | -0.5 |
| Israel | 7.0% | -0.5 |
| Oman | 6.2% | 0.0 |
| Japan | 6.0% | -1.5 |
| Russia | 5.1% | +0.8 |
| Venezuela | 4.5% | -1.0 |
| North Korea | 4.0% | -1.5 |
| Italy | 4.0% | -3.0 |
| Canada | 4.0% | +0.1 |
| Belarus | 3.9% | 0.0 |
| India | 3.6% | -2.4 |
| Pakistan | 3.4% | -0.2 |
| Syria | 3.4% | -1.1 |
| Ukraine | 3.1% | -0.1 |
| Taiwan | 2.8% | -0.1 |
| Mexico | 2.6% | -1.3 |
| Lebanon | 1.2% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Portugal is the favorite at 11.5%, followed by Saudi Arabia at 9.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $696K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $97K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.