Miss Universe 2026 Winner?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Country 1 at 50.0%, ahead of Country 2 at 50.0%. $11K traded across 75 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Country 1 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 2 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 3 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 4 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 5 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 6 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 7 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 8 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 9 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 10 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 11 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 12 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 13 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 14 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 15 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 16 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 17 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 18 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 19 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 20 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 21 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 22 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 23 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 24 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 25 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 26 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Country 27 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Philippines | 22.5% | -11.0 |
| Puerto Rico | 11.5% | -0.5 |
| Bolivia | 11.3% | +1.2 |
| Nepal | 7.0% | +3.5 |
| Venezuela | 7.0% | +0.1 |
| Chile | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| Jamaica | 6.5% | -0.5 |
| Netherlands | 5.6% | -3.9 |
| Zimbabwe | 5.1% | -0.1 |
| Cuba | 5.0% | 0.0 |
| Croatia | 4.6% | +0.1 |
| France | 4.5% | -2.5 |
| Peru | 4.5% | +0.5 |
| USA | 4.5% | +0.5 |
| Portugal | 4.4% | -1.5 |
| Costa Rica | 4.3% | -9.5 |
| Aruba | 4.1% | +0.1 |
| Guadeloupe | 4.1% | +0.1 |
| Russia | 4.1% | -2.3 |
| Spain | 4.0% | -2.0 |
| Egypt | 3.7% | -3.5 |
| South Africa | 3.6% | -8.8 |
| Dominican Republic | 3.6% | -0.9 |
| China | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Argentina | 3.5% | -0.7 |
| Finland | 3.3% | -0.8 |
| Australia | 3.1% | 0.0 |
| Mexico | 2.8% | -1.8 |
| Japan | 2.6% | -0.4 |
| Serbia | 2.4% | -2.3 |
| Brazil | 1.1% | -1.9 |
| Cameroon | 1.1% | -2.5 |
| Colombia | 1.1% | -1.9 |
| El Salvador | 1.1% | -2.0 |
| Haiti | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| India | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Nigeria | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Cambodia | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Pakistan | 1.1% | -0.1 |
| Canada | 0.5% | -3.9 |
| Curaçao | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Ecuador | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Guatemala | 0.5% | -4.5 |
| Namibia | 0.5% | -3.7 |
| Nicaragua | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 0.5% | -12.2 |
| Malta | 0.4% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
The Miss Universe 2026 competition is scheduled to be held in Puerto Rico on November 24, 2026. You can find more information about that here: https://www.missuniverse.com/ This market will resolve to the country represented by the contestant ranked first in the Miss Universe 2026 competition, according to the ranking below. Contestants will be ranked according to their official competition ranking. If two or more contestants share the same ranking, ties will be broken alphabetically by the English name of the country they represent. This market will resolve according to the country ranked first under this ranking. If the result of this competition isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on official results as reported by the Miss Universe Organization.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Miss Universe 2026 Winner?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Country 1 is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Country 2 at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 25, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $11K in total and $986 in the last 24 hours, with about $28K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.