Who is favored in "Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner"?

As of November 6, 2026, María Corina Machado is the favorite at 67.5%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2030. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$68K in total and $22K in the last 24 hours, with about $123K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner

Live market data

Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

Name: Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is María Corina Machado at 67.5%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $68K traded across 111 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

67.5%

María Corina Machado · Trade →

24h move

+14.0

pts · 7d +20.5

Volume

$68K

24h $22K · liquidity $123K

Closes

January 1, 2030

1152 days left

Politics Elections Venezuela Main Election World Elections

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
María Corina Machado	67.5%	+14.0	+20.5	$43K	3.0¢
Person A	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person B	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person C	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person D	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person E	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person F	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person G	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person H	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person I	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person J	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person K	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person L	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person M	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person N	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person O	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person P	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Q	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person R	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person S	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person T	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person U	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person V	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person W	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person X	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Y	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Z	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AA	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AB	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AC	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AD	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AE	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AF	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AG	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AH	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AI	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AJ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AK	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AL	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AM	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AN	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AO	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AP	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AQ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AR	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AS	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AT	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AU	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AV	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AW	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AX	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AY	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AZ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BA	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BB	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BC	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BD	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BE	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BF	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BG	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BH	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BI	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BJ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BK	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BL	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BM	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BN	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BO	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BP	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BQ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BR	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BS	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BT	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BU	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BV	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BW	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BX	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BY	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person BZ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CA	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CB	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CC	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CD	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CE	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CF	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CG	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CH	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CI	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CJ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CK	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CL	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CM	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CN	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CO	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CP	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CQ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CR	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CS	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CT	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CU	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person CV	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Other	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Delcy Rodríguez	10.5%	0.0	-2.0	$12K	1.0¢
Jorge Rodríguez	5.5%	-0.6	-1.8	$1K	0.9¢
Donald Trump	2.8%	-0.1	-4.3	$2K	4.0¢
Manuel Rosales	2.6%	0.0	0.0	$281	4.7¢
Marco Rubio	2.6%	-0.1	-2.4	$592	3.6¢
Henrique Capriles	2.4%	-0.3	-0.3	$415	3.7¢
Edmundo González	1.3%	0.0	-6.3	$5K	1.7¢
Diosdado Cabello	1.1%	-0.5	-2.9	$3K	1.5¢
Nicolás Maduro	1.0%	0.0	-0.1	$773	1.6¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

María Corina Machado

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election. If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying María Corina Machado at 68% risks 68¢ to win 32¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner"?: As of November 6, 2026, María Corina Machado is the favorite at 67.5%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2030. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $68K in total and $22K in the last 24 hours, with about $123K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.