When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$125K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $667 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela presid

Live market data

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 13.5% (0.0 pts in 24h). $125K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

13.5%

No 86.5% · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d +1.0

Volume

$125K

24h $0 · liquidity $667

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Trump-Machado World Venezuela Trump Geopolitics

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	13.5%	0.0	+1.0	$125K	11.0¢
No	86.5%	0.0	-1.0	$125K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 14% risks 14¢ to win 87¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 13.5% and No at 86.5%, on $125K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $125K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $667 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Venezuela leader end of 2026?U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.