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Home / Markets / Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?
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Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is December 31 at 6.0%. $13K traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

6.0%
December 31 · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d -2.0

Volume

$13K
24h $0 · liquidity $12K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

OilSPRTrumpWorldPolitics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
December 316.0% 0.0-2.0$8K4.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
December 31

Market rules and resolution

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31 at 6% risks 6¢ to win 94¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 6.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$13K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.