US forces enter Venezuela again by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved June 30. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 100.0%; a week before, 4.4%. $3.1M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
VenezuelaTrumpPoliticsTrump PresidencyGeopolitics
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| June 30 | WON |
| January 31 | LOST |
| January 10 | LOST |
| March 31 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "US forces enter Venezuela again by...?" resolve?
- It resolved June 30 around June 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 4.4% one week before and 11.3% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $3.1M across 4 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.