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Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is March 31, 2027 at 36.5%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 8.5%. $674K traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

36.5%
March 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+14.0
pts · 7d -6.5

Volume

$674K
24h $2K · liquidity $54K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

WorldVenezuelaPoliticsElectionsGeopolitics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
March 31, 202736.5% +14.0-6.5$6K5.0¢
December 31, 20268.5% +1.0-0.5$169K1.0¢
November 30, 20262.3% -1.1-6.2$7K2.8¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%01-3106-1911-06
March 31, 2027December 31, 2026November 30, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying March 31, 2027 at 37% risks 37¢ to win 64¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, March 31, 2027 is the favorite at 36.5%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 8.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$674K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $54K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.