Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved January 9. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 61.5%; a week before, –. $1.7M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| January 9 | WON |
| January 31 | WON |
| December 31, 2025 | LOST |
| January 9 | OPEN |
| January 31 | OPEN |
| January 15 | OPEN |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities against Venezuela by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the listed date of the report. This market may stay open until January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to allow for a qualifying report to be published. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by...?" resolve?
- It resolved January 9 around January 31, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 61.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.7M across 6 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.