Live market data
Pope Leo XIV: live prediction market odds
Every active Polymarket market mentioning Pope Leo XIV, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.
Live markets
10
mentioning Pope Leo XIV
Total volume
$2.7M
across live markets
Most traded
28%
Zohran Mamdani in "TIME Person of the Year 2026"
Live markets about Pope Leo XIV
| Market | Favorite | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| TIME Person of the Year 2026 closes July 1, 2027 | Zohran Mamdani | 27.5% | -1.0 |
| Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 closes April 1, 2028 | Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 10.6% | 0.0 |
| Who will Trump speak to by November 30? closes December 1, 2026 | Xi Jinping | 97.4% | +1.7 |
| Who will Trump meet with in 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Vladimir Putin | 89.0% | +0.5 |
| Who will Trump publicly insult by November 30? closes December 1, 2026 | Barack Obama | 84.0% | -15.4 |
| English Premier League: Most Clean Sheets 2026-27 closes June 15, 2027 | David Raya | 83.0% | +1.0 |
| #1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026? closes April 1, 2027 | Person 3 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Who will Trump speak to by October 31? closes November 1, 2026 | Lula da Silva | 11.1% | 0.0 |
| Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 15.0% | -1.5 |
| Vatican III in 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 9.9% | 0.0 |
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Recently resolved
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15? May 15, 2026 | No |
| Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30? April 30, 2026 | No |
| Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April? April 30, 2026 | No |
| Who will be the next Pope? December 31, 2025 | Robert Francis Prevost |
| New Pope in 2025? December 31, 2025 | Yes |
| What continent will next Pope be from? December 31, 2025 | North America |
| Which country will Pope Leo visit first? December 31, 2025 | Turkey |
| # of rounds to elect next Pope? December 31, 2025 | 3–4 |
| Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? December 31, 2025 | No |
| Will the next Pope be Black? December 31, 2025 | No |
| What country will next Pope be from? December 31, 2025 | United States |
| Who will Pope Leo XIV meet with in 2025? December 31, 2025 | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan |
About this page
Papal markets and Vatican events. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds on Pope Leo XIV right now?
- The most traded live market is "TIME Person of the Year 2026", where Zohran Mamdani is priced at 27.5% as of November 6, 2026. 10 live markets mention Pope Leo XIV.
- How do I bet on Pope Leo XIV?
- These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.