Which country will Pope Leo visit first?: result and scorecard
Resolved Turkey. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.0%; a week before, 97.9%. $1.3M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Turkey | WON |
| Other | LOST |
| Spain | LOST |
| Peru | LOST |
| Ukraine | LOST |
| U.S. | LOST |
| Philippines | LOST |
| Mexico | LOST |
| Germany | LOST |
| Argentina | LOST |
| Brazil | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the first sovereign country that Pope Leo XIV visits after becoming pope. Italy will not be considered for this market. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Pope Leo XIV physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed country. Whether or not Pope Leo XIV enters the country's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If Pope Leo XIV doesn't visit any country by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Which country will Pope Leo visit first?" resolve?
- It resolved Turkey around December 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.0% one day before close, 97.9% one week before and 93.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.3M across 11 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.