Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is December 31 at 15.5%. $7K traded across 1 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 15.5% | -1.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying meeting between Anthropic and the Holy See takes place between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying participants are as follows: - Anthropic: a co-founder, a C-suite executive, or a representative officially designated by Anthropic. - Vatican: the Pope, a head or senior official of a Holy See institution, or a representative officially designated by the Holy See. A qualifying meeting must involve direct, substantive discussion between at least one qualifying representative of Anthropic and at least one qualifying representative of the Holy See. A bilateral meeting or a joint working session within a larger event will qualify. Mere attendance at the same event, an incidental greeting, a photo opportunity, or separate speeches will not qualify. The meeting must take place in person. Video calls, phone calls, and other virtual meetings will not qualify. The meeting must take place after this market's creation. Newly reported details of a meeting that took place before this market's creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation from Anthropic or the Holy See; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 15.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $7K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $340 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.