Who is favored in "Will Israel annex any territory by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, June 30, 2027 is the favorite at 13.5%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 10.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$540K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $14K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Live market data

Will Israel annex any territory by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will Israel annex any territory by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is June 30, 2027 at 13.5%, ahead of March 31, 2027 at 10.0%. $540K traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

13.5%

June 30, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+0.5

pts · 7d -34.5

Volume

$540K

24h $0 · liquidity $14K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Politics Israel world affairs Middle East World

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
June 30, 2027	13.5%	+0.5	-34.5	$1	15.0¢
March 31, 2027	10.0%	0.0	-11.5	$159	10.0¢
December 31, 2026	2.4%	-0.4	-8.6	$99K	1.5¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

June 30, 2027March 31, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying June 30, 2027 at 14% risks 14¢ to win 87¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Will Israel annex any territory by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, June 30, 2027 is the favorite at 13.5%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 10.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $540K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $14K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.