Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?: result and scorecard
Resolved Taiwan Arms Sales Halt. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 0.9%; a week before, 6.0%. $1.7M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
PoliticsChinaxi jinpingTrump-Xi SummitTrump
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Taiwan Arms Sales Halt | WON |
| U.S.-China AI Safety Channel | WON |
| US-China Board of Trade | WON |
| Tariff Reduction | LOST |
| New Sanctions | LOST |
| AI Export Restrictions Relief | LOST |
| Detained Americans Release | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariffs reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?" resolve?
- It resolved Taiwan Arms Sales Halt around May 22, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 0.9% one day before close, 6.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.7M across 7 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.