Lai Ching-te impeached before 2026?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.6%; a week before, 98.4%. $88K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Lai Ching-te impeached before 2026?" resolve?
- It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.6% one day before close, 98.4% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $88K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.