Who is favored in "Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner"?

As of November 6, 2026, Chang Chia-chun is the favorite at 84.0%, followed by Candidate A at 50.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 29, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$8K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner

Live market data

Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

Name: Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Chang Chia-chun at 84.0%, ahead of Candidate A at 50.0%. $8K traded across 29 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

84.0%

Chang Chia-chun · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d +12.0

Volume

$8K

24h $0 · liquidity $4K

Closes

November 29, 2026

23 days left

Taiwan Politics Elections Main Election Global Elections

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	7d	Volume	Spread
Chang Chia-chun	84.0%	+12.0	$6K	8.0¢
Candidate A	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate B	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate C	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate D	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate E	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate F	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate G	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate H	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate I	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate J	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate K	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate L	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate M	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate N	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate O	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate P	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate Q	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate R	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate S	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate T	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate U	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate V	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate W	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate X	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate Y	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate Z	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Other	50.0%	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Liu Chien-kuo	16.0%	+2.0	$2K	6.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Chang Chia-chun

Market rules and resolution

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Chang Chia-chun at 84% risks 84¢ to win 16¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner"?: As of November 6, 2026, Chang Chia-chun is the favorite at 84.0%, followed by Candidate A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 29, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $8K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.