Mayor Combo: Taipei and New Taipei: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Other at 50.0%, ahead of KMT sweep at 44.0%. $5K traded across 5 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
TaiwanPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsTaiwan Elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| KMT sweep | 44.0% | -3.5 |
| DPP sweep | 28.0% | +7.5 |
| KMT Taipei, DPP New Taipei | 21.0% | -6.0 |
| DPP Taipei, KMT New Taipei | 5.0% | -3.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the Taipei and New Taipei mayoral elections that are currently scheduled for November 28, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “KMT” or “DPP” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Mayor Combo: Taipei and New Taipei"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Other is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by KMT sweep at 44.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 29, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $5K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $24K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.