Will Trump visit China by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved May 15. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 91.5%. $49.6M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Trade WarTariffsTrump-Xi SummitTrump PresidencyTrump
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| May 15 | WON |
| May 31 | WON |
| June 30 | WON |
| April 30 | LOST |
| March 31, 2026 | LOST |
| May 8 | LOST |
| October 31, 2025 | LOST |
| May 13 | OPEN |
| May 14 | OPEN |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Trump visit China by...?" resolve?
- It resolved May 15 around April 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 91.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $49.6M across 9 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.