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Home / Markets / Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?
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Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 11.5% (-4.5 pts in 24h). $14K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

11.5%
No 88.5% · Trade →

24h move

-4.5
pts · 7d -7.0

Volume

$14K
24h $580 · liquidity $3K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

ChinaSoccerSportsCultureLa Liga

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes11.5% -4.5-7.0$14K1.0¢
No88.5% +4.5+7.0$14K–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-2811-0211-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Real Madrid CF men’s first-team match is broadcast live on an official China Central Television (CCTV) channel between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying broadcast must air live, in full or in part, on an official CCTV television channel (e.g., CCTV-5 or CCTV-5+). Highlights, replays, delayed broadcasts, and streams available only on online platforms, including CCTV’s own online and mobile platforms such as Yangshipin (央视频), will not qualify. Any match involving Real Madrid CF’s men’s first team, including league, cup, continental, and friendly matches, will qualify. Kylian Mbappé does not need to play in or appear on screen during the broadcast. The primary resolution source for this market will be official CCTV broadcasting; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 12% risks 12¢ to win 89¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 11.5% and No at 88.5%, on $14K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$14K in total and $580 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.