What are the odds that Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 8.5% and No at 91.5%, on $237K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$237K in total and $984 in the last 24 hours, with about $26K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Live market data

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 8.5% (+1.0 pts in 24h). $237K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

8.5%

No 91.5% · Trade →

24h move

+1.0

pts · 7d -4.5

Volume

$237K

24h $984 · liquidity $26K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

China Politics Geopolitics xi jinping World

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	8.5%	+1.0	-4.5	$237K	1.0¢
No	91.5%	-1.0	+4.5	$237K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 9% risks 9¢ to win 92¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 8.5% and No at 91.5%, on $237K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $237K in total and $984 in the last 24 hours, with about $26K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.