Get the brief
LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Live market data

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Pete Buttigieg at 39.6%, ahead of Rahm Emanuel at 27.1%. $1.3M traded across 71 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

39.6%
Pete Buttigieg · Trade →

24h move

+28.0
pts · 7d +18.4

Volume

$1.3M
24h $28K · liquidity $923K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

PoliticsCelebritiesElectionsPresident2028 Election

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Pete Buttigieg39.6% +28.0+18.4$27K35.6¢
Rahm Emanuel27.1% -24.3-18.4$22K7.8¢
Ron DeSantis13.6% -16.8-1.5$9K2.8¢
Phil Murphy13.2% -2.6-1.4$5K5.8¢
Andy Beshear11.6% -11.2-11.4$34K1.5¢
Raphael Warnock11.5% -4.5+2.5$5K1.0¢
J.D. Vance10.3% +9.8+5.4$42K7.8¢
Gavin Newsom8.5% +0.5-4.5$99K1.0¢
Mark Kelly8.2% +0.9-1.4$15K2.7¢
Tulsi Gabbard7.7% -3.1+2.0$7K0.6¢
Tucker Carlson7.0% +0.1+2.6$32K0.5¢
Rand Paul6.5% +0.50.0$20K1.0¢
Ted Cruz6.5% +0.2-2.3$18K0.1¢
Steve Bannon6.3% -0.7+3.3$22K0.1¢
Brian Kemp5.5% 0.00.0$5K1.0¢
Marjorie Taylor Greene5.3% +0.8+0.9$23K0.7¢
Kamala Harris4.9% +0.1-1.8$78K2.5¢
Gina Raimondo4.6% -1.1+0.6$5K5.2¢
Andrew Yang4.3% 0.0-0.1$16K2.1¢
John Fetterman4.0% -0.1-0.3$7K4.3¢
Hunter Biden3.9% +0.1-0.4$60K1.2¢
Glenn Youngkin3.8% +2.5-3.7$8K5.7¢
Matt Gaetz3.6% +0.2-0.1$3K3.8¢
Gretchen Whitmer3.5% -0.1+0.3$5K4.2¢
Nikki Haley3.5% -1.9-1.5$5K2.6¢
Elise Stefanik3.4% 0.0-0.9$5K2.8¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez3.4% -0.1-4.7$63K1.1¢
Cory Booker3.4% -0.3-3.5$18K0.3¢
Wes Moore3.3% 0.00.0$7K3.1¢
Candace Owens3.2% +0.2+0.2$12K2.6¢
Beto O’Rourke3.1% +0.4-2.9$12K3.5¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.3.1% -0.9-2.6$18K5.5¢
Donald Trump Jr.3.0% -0.4-0.6$10K2.7¢
Tom Brady3.0% -0.1-1.1$10K3.3¢
George Clooney2.9% -0.3-1.6$6K3.6¢
Greg Abbott2.9% -0.1-1.6$5K4.1¢
Josh Shapiro2.8% -0.7-1.6$16K1.8¢
Kristi Noem2.7% 0.0-0.5$20K3.0¢
Liz Cheney2.6% -0.1+0.3$3K3.7¢
Byron Donalds2.6% 0.0+0.3$11K2.7¢
Erika Kirk2.6% -0.1-0.8$27K2.7¢
Don Lemon2.6% -0.3-4.0$3K3.5¢
Ivanka Trump2.6% +0.1-0.3$40K3.0¢
Bernie Sanders2.5% +0.1-40.6$5K3.4¢
MrBeast2.5% -1.4+0.7$30K1.6¢
Marco Rubio2.5% +1.4-1.8$30K1.0¢
Hillary Clinton2.5% 0.0-0.6$16K2.5¢
Jon Stewart2.4% 0.0-2.4$5K2.3¢
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2.4% 0.00.0$11K2.1¢
J.B. Pritzker2.3% +1.0-5.2$11K0.6¢
Donald Trump2.3% +0.7-0.9$74K1.3¢
Elon Musk2.3% 0.0-1.3$10K2.1¢
Stephen A. Smith2.2% 0.0+0.6$20K2.8¢
Barack Obama2.2% +0.4-0.5$12K2.4¢
Katie Britt2.2% 0.0+0.1$26K2.0¢
Mike Pence2.1% 0.00.0$16K1.9¢
Chelsea Clinton2.1% -1.1-12.8$14K2.8¢
Tim Walz2.1% +1.1-1.8$7K2.5¢
Michelle Obama2.1% -0.1-0.7$15K1.1¢
LeBron James1.9% 0.0-0.3$16K2.2¢
Josh Hawley1.9% -1.4-3.6$10K1.8¢
Oprah Winfrey1.8% -0.4-1.5$18K2.3¢
Jared Polis1.7% 0.0-0.1$6K1.8¢
Jon Ossoff1.6% -0.8-2.7$43K0.8¢
Vivek Ramaswamy1.6% 0.0-3.4$10K2.4¢
Roy Cooper1.4% 0.0-0.1$7K1.4¢
Sarah Huckabee Sanders1.4% 0.00.0$8K1.4¢
Zohran Mamdani1.4% +0.4-2.0$40K0.9¢
Mark Cuban1.3% 0.00.0$15K1.2¢
John Thune1.3% +0.1-3.4$7K1.2¢
Kim Kardashian1.1% 0.0-5.3$8K0.7¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-2005-1411-06
Pete ButtigiegRahm EmanuelRon DeSantisPhil Murphy

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Pete Buttigieg at 40% risks 40¢ to win 60¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Pete Buttigieg is the favorite at 39.6%, followed by Rahm Emanuel at 27.1%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$1.3M in total and $28K in the last 24 hours, with about $923K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Presidential Election Winner 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Alaska Senate Election WinnerNext French Presidential ElectionMississippi Senate Election WinnerAll live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.