Republican VP Nominee 2028: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Marco Rubio at 25.5%, ahead of Tucker Carlson at 23.5%. $64K traded across 35 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
US ElectionUnited StatesPoliticsgopvice president
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | 25.5% | -1.0 |
| Tucker Carlson | 23.5% | -0.1 |
| Rand Paul | 12.6% | 0.0 |
| Pete Hegseth | 9.0% | 0.0 |
| Brian Kemp | 7.7% | -3.5 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 7.4% | -0.1 |
| Katie Britt | 7.4% | +3.9 |
| Thomas Massie | 6.8% | 0.0 |
| Elon Musk | 6.2% | +3.1 |
| J.D. Vance | 5.5% | +0.3 |
| Donald Trump | 4.3% | +0.9 |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 4.0% | -1.7 |
| Ivanka Trump | 3.5% | +1.6 |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 3.4% | 0.0 |
| Josh Hawley | 3.3% | 0.0 |
| Greg Abbott | 3.3% | -0.1 |
| Glenn Youngkin | 2.9% | +1.1 |
| Joe Kent | 2.5% | -0.1 |
| Ted Cruz | 2.2% | 0.0 |
| Ron DeSantis | 2.1% | -0.1 |
| Byron Donalds | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| Kristi Noem | 1.8% | -0.4 |
| Elise Stefanik | 1.8% | +0.3 |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 1.7% | -0.1 |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 1.6% | +0.1 |
| Nikki Haley | 1.5% | 0.0 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1.5% | -0.1 |
| Eric Trump | 1.5% | 0.0 |
| Erika Kirk | 1.1% | +0.1 |
| Mike Pence | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Kim Kardashian | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Matt Gaetz | 0.9% | -0.1 |
| John Thune | 0.8% | +0.1 |
| Steve Bannon | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Tom Brady | 0.4% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Republican VP Nominee 2028"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Marco Rubio is the favorite at 25.5%, followed by Tucker Carlson at 23.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $64K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $1.3M of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.