US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved June 30. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 75.9%; a week before, 61.0%. $58.3M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
PoliticsIran CeasefireIranTrumpU.S. x Iran
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| June 30 | WON |
| June 21 | WON |
| July 31 | WON |
| April 30 | LOST |
| May 31 | LOST |
| May 15 | LOST |
| May 5 | LOST |
| April 22 | LOST |
| June 15 | LOST |
| June 19 | LOST |
| April 21 | LOST |
| April 27 | LOST |
| April 26 | LOST |
| April 28 | LOST |
| April 25 | LOST |
| April 20 | LOST |
| April 24 | LOST |
| April 29 | LOST |
| April 18 | LOST |
| April 23 | LOST |
| June 16 | LOST |
| June 10 | LOST |
| June 18 | LOST |
| April 19 | LOST |
| June 7 | LOST |
| June 17 | LOST |
| April 17 | LOST |
| May 22 | LOST |
| June 3 | LOST |
| June 14 | LOST |
| April 16 | LOST |
| May 28 | LOST |
| June 13 | LOST |
| April 15 | LOST |
| June 20 | OPEN |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?" resolve?
- It resolved June 30 around April 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 75.9% one day before close, 61.0% one week before and 64.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $58.3M across 35 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.