2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Other at 50.0%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $74K traded across 9 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
PoliticsElectionsUnited StatesUS ElectionDerivatives
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 50.0% | -2.8 |
| Person A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| JD Vance | 31.0% | +4.0 |
| Gavin Newsom | 2.9% | -0.2 |
| Marco Rubio | 2.9% | -0.1 |
| Kamala Harris | 2.7% | -0.3 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 2.1% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the option with the highest hourly odds value in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Candidate" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026. If that option is not a listed outcome of this market, this market will resolve to "Other". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. An option with no hourly odds value published in that period will not be considered. If two or more options are tied for the highest value, the tie will be broken in favor of the tied option with the higher value in the most recent earlier window in which their values differed. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied option whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve in favor of the outcome of the underlying market if it is a listed outcome, and otherwise to "Other". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The res
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Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Other is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 30, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $74K in total and $14K in the last 24 hours, with about $147K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.