JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved April 30. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.7%; a week before, 8.5%. $2.5M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Foreign PolicyVanceIran CeasefirePoliticsTrump
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| April 30 | WON |
| April 11 | WON |
| April 12 | WON |
| April 13 | WON |
| April 15 | WON |
| April 14 | WON |
| April 10 | LOST |
| March 31 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?" resolve?
- It resolved April 30 around April 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.7% one day before close, 8.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $2.5M across 8 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.