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Live market data

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Dario Amodei at 22.7%, ahead of Delcy Rodriguez at 19.0%. $101K traded across 4 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

22.7%
Dario Amodei · Trade →

24h move

-0.7
pts · 7d -4.3

Volume

$101K
24h $26 · liquidity $628

Closes

October 31, 2026
0 days left

TrumpCulturePoliticsRecurring

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Dario Amodei22.7% -0.7-4.3$8K43.1¢
Delcy Rodriguez19.0% -6.0-12.0$4K30.0¢
Bryson DeChambeau16.0% +0.5-11.0$4K32.0¢
Volodymyr Zelenskyy4.5% +0.4-31.9$4K6.3¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-3011-0211-06
Dario AmodeiDelcy RodriguezBryson DeChambeauVolodymyr Zelenskyy

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain praising language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Praising language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as praise, or endorses praising language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as praise if it expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the individual either personally or professionally. This includes direct praise, attributing a positive personal or professional trait to the individual (e.g., strong, smart, loyal, a winner), or equivalent positive descriptions. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Dario Amodei at 23% risks 23¢ to win 77¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Dario Amodei is the favorite at 22.7%, followed by Delcy Rodriguez at 19.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on October 31, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$101K in total and $26 in the last 24 hours, with about $628 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.