JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved June 30. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 90.0%; a week before, 34.5%. $427K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
IranVancePoliticsGeopoliticsTrump
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| June 30 | WON |
| May 31 | LOST |
| May 15 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?" resolve?
- It resolved June 30 around June 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 90.0% one day before close, 34.5% one week before and 37.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $427K across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.