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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Andy Beshear at 90.8%, ahead of J.B. Pritzker at 87.0%. $175K traded across 71 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:08 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

90.8%
Andy Beshear · Trade →

24h move

+1.1
pts · 7d +2.7

Volume

$175K
24h $15K · liquidity $420K

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

PoliticsElectionsPresidentCelebrities2028 Election

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Andy Beshear90.8% +1.1+2.7$2K0.1¢
J.B. Pritzker87.0% +13.0+27.5$4K2.0¢
Pete Buttigieg82.5% +0.5+4.5$5K1.0¢
Ron DeSantis78.5% -0.5+13.0$2K1.0¢
Gavin Newsom77.5% 0.0+1.0$8K3.0¢
Ted Cruz76.0% 0.0+0.5$8K2.0¢
J.D. Vance74.7% +5.1+0.1$8K3.1¢
Josh Shapiro74.5% -1.5+11.0$2K1.0¢
Rahm Emanuel69.5% -3.5+7.0$2K7.0¢
Rand Paul68.5% +1.0+17.0$48227.0¢
Cory Booker65.0% +0.5+9.5$3K2.0¢
Wes Moore64.5% +9.0-3.5$4K1.0¢
Mark Kelly61.0% +0.5-0.5$6992.0¢
Raphael Warnock58.5% -6.0+11.0$94511.0¢
Marco Rubio58.0% +20.5+16.0$8K2.0¢
Kamala Harris57.5% 0.0+0.5$6K1.0¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez56.5% -9.0-8.0$14K1.0¢
Jon Ossoff49.5% -2.0-1.0$8K1.0¢
Andrew Yang47.0% +2.0+6.0$4K4.0¢
Brian Kemp45.5% 0.0+2.5$5175.0¢
Jared Polis37.5% 0.0+0.5$803.0¢
Glenn Youngkin33.5% 0.00.0$6611.0¢
Gretchen Whitmer31.5% 0.00.0$9723.0¢
Phil Murphy31.5% -0.5-11.0$2K5.0¢
Josh Hawley30.0% 0.0-1.5$5K2.0¢
Mark Cuban28.5% +1.5+9.5$7347.0¢
Hunter Biden28.5% 0.0-0.5$6K5.0¢
Sarah Huckabee Sanders26.0% +4.5+6.0$802.0¢
Marjorie Taylor Greene26.0% 0.0+0.5$5162.0¢
John Fetterman25.0% -18.5+5.0$3K10.0¢
Nikki Haley24.5% 0.0-0.5$3611.0¢
Katie Britt24.5% 0.00.0$211.0¢
Steve Bannon24.5% 0.0-6.5$3K5.0¢
Elise Stefanik24.0% +0.50.0$852.0¢
Gina Raimondo23.5% -10.5-4.5$2K11.0¢
Greg Abbott23.5% 0.00.0$01.0¢
Don Lemon23.5% 0.0+1.0$401.0¢
Roy Cooper20.5% +0.50.0$403.0¢
Tulsi Gabbard20.0% 0.0+0.5$9562.0¢
Byron Donalds19.5% -3.5-4.0$2763.0¢
Stephen A. Smith19.0% 0.00.0$1K2.0¢
Liz Cheney18.0% +4.0+4.0$2K4.0¢
Donald Trump Jr.18.0% +0.50.0$4K4.0¢
Kristi Noem17.5% +0.5+1.0$805.0¢
Jon Stewart17.0% +1.0+1.0$2K2.0¢
Candace Owens17.0% 0.0+1.0$6342.0¢
Tucker Carlson16.5% -1.0-0.5$4K1.0¢
Mike Pence16.0% 0.00.0$6902.0¢
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson15.5% 0.00.0$1K1.0¢
Vivek Ramaswamy15.0% -8.0-7.5$1K2.0¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.14.5% 0.0-1.0$1K1.0¢
Matt Gaetz14.0% +0.50.0$3782.0¢
Michelle Obama13.0% 0.0-1.0$2K2.0¢
George Clooney12.7% -0.4-0.5$2K0.9¢
Oprah Winfrey12.5% 0.00.0$571.0¢
Elon Musk12.5% 0.00.0$3K1.0¢
Donald Trump12.0% 0.00.0$1002.0¢
Bernie Sanders11.5% 0.00.0$2K1.0¢
Beto O’Rourke11.5% 0.00.0$201.0¢
Kim Kardashian11.5% 0.0-0.5$5K1.0¢
LeBron James10.4% 0.0-0.2$2770.3¢
John Thune10.0% -5.5-5.0$3904.0¢
Chelsea Clinton9.6% -1.3-0.9$2490.8¢
Zohran Mamdani9.0% -1.5-1.5$5K2.0¢
Tom Brady9.0% -2.0-2.0$2K2.0¢
Tim Walz8.1% +0.1+0.2$5K0.7¢
MrBeast7.5% 0.00.0$2K1.0¢
Ivanka Trump7.4% -0.7-0.1$6211.3¢
Erika Kirk7.0% 0.0+1.0$5K2.0¢
Hillary Clinton3.8% 0.00.0$5K1.5¢
Barack Obama2.3% 0.00.0$6321.5¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:08 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%08-0509-2011-06
Andy BeshearJ.B. PritzkerPete ButtigiegRon DeSantis

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Andy Beshear at 91% risks 91¢ to win 9¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Andy Beshear is the favorite at 90.8%, followed by J.B. Pritzker at 87.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$175K in total and $15K in the last 24 hours, with about $420K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.