Who will meet with Iran by June 30?: result and scorecard
Resolved J.D. Vance. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 91.5%; a week before, 34.0%. $198K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
VanceTrumpIran CeasefireDiplomatic meetingWitkoff
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | WON |
| Steve Witkoff | WON |
| Jared Kushner | WON |
| Donald Trump | LOST |
| Marco Rubio | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Who will meet with Iran by June 30?" resolve?
- It resolved J.D. Vance around June 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 91.5% one day before close, 34.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $198K across 5 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.