Resolved market scorecard
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September? : result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 98.3%. $156K traded in total.
Result
No
resolved October 1, 2025
Price 1 day before
99.9%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
98.3%
30 days before: 83.0%
Volume
$156K
1 outcome
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially launches a token by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Gavin Newsom, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September? " resolve?
- It resolved No around September 30, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 98.3% one week before and 83.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $156K across 1 outcome.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.