Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30?: live odds and probabilities
Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 96.9% (+1.3 pts in 24h). $6K has traded on this market.
Yes probability
24h move
Volume
Closes
PoliticsElectionsPrimariesDerivativesUS Election
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 96.9% | +1.3 |
| No | 3.1% | -1.3 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:09 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Ossoff's hourly odds value is higher than Gavin Newsom's hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if Gavin Newsom's hourly odds value is higher than Jon Ossoff's hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026. If Jon Ossoff's and Gavin Newsom's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Jon Ossoff or Gavin Newsom in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Ossoff is the outcome of the underlying market and to "No" if Gavin Newsom is t
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds that Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30?
- As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 96.9% and No at 3.1%, on $6K of total volume.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 30, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $6K in total and $382 in the last 24 hours, with about $21K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.