Who is favored in "Democratic VP Nominee 2028"?

As of November 6, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the favorite at 22.5%, followed by Marie Gluesenkamp Perez at 22.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$164K in total and $22K in the last 24 hours, with about $2.1M of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Live market data

Democratic VP Nominee 2028: live odds and probabilities

Name: Democratic VP Nominee 2028 prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 22.5%, ahead of Marie Gluesenkamp Perez at 22.0%. $164K traded across 46 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

22.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Trade →

24h move

+10.5

pts · 7d +12.5

Volume

$164K

24h $22K · liquidity $2.1M

Closes

November 8, 2028

733 days left

Politics President US Election Elections United States

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	22.5%	+10.5	+12.5	$20K	1.0¢
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	22.0%	0.0	0.0	$41	44.0¢
Adam Hamilton	21.5%	0.0	0.0	$41	43.0¢
Rob Sand	9.5%	0.0	0.0	$529	15.0¢
Gretchen Whitmer	8.1%	+2.1	-0.8	$11K	5.9¢
James Talarico	7.5%	-0.9	+2.5	$5K	2.5¢
Elissa Slotkin	6.9%	-0.4	-1.4	$5K	1.1¢
Wes Moore	6.4%	-2.1	+0.3	$5K	1.2¢
Pete Buttigieg	5.1%	-2.3	-1.5	$8K	1.4¢
Jon Ossoff	4.3%	-0.3	-0.4	$4K	0.5¢
Raphael Warnock	4.2%	+0.1	+0.7	$3K	2.7¢
Mark Kelly	3.3%	-0.3	+0.3	$6K	3.1¢
Zohran Mamdani	2.9%	-1.7	-1.0	$15K	3.2¢
Andy Beshear	2.4%	-2.1	-2.8	$6K	2.4¢
Josh Shapiro	2.3%	0.0	-0.2	$6K	0.3¢
Gavin Newsom	2.1%	+1.0	-2.5	$3K	3.1¢
Roy Cooper	1.9%	-0.1	-1.1	$3K	2.2¢
Kamala Harris	1.8%	+0.2	-0.1	$1K	1.4¢
Ruben Gallego	1.7%	0.0	-0.4	$1K	1.7¢
Ro Khanna	1.4%	+0.8	-0.7	$4K	1.6¢
Tim Walz	1.1%	+0.4	+0.4	$3K	1.2¢
Bernie Sanders	1.1%	-1.2	-1.2	$3K	1.8¢
Chris Murphy	1.1%	-0.1	-0.9	$2K	1.7¢
J.B. Pritzker	0.4%	-1.1	-1.9	$2K	0.4¢
Gina Raimondo	0.4%	-0.9	-1.2	$3K	0.3¢
Kim Kardashian	0.4%	-0.1	-2.5	$3K	0.3¢
Jared Polis	0.3%	-0.7	-0.5	$1K	0.4¢
Stephen A. Smith	0.3%	-0.1	-0.4	$3K	0.3¢
Mark Cuban	0.3%	-0.1	-0.1	$1K	0.3¢
Michelle Obama	0.3%	-0.1	-0.8	$2K	0.3¢
Rahm Emanuel	0.3%	-0.1	-2.8	$3K	0.3¢
John Fetterman	0.3%	-0.1	-0.4	$2K	0.3¢
Barack Obama	0.3%	-0.1	-0.8	$3K	0.3¢
Liz Cheney	0.3%	-0.1	-0.1	$1K	0.3¢
LeBron James	0.3%	-0.1	-2.1	$1K	0.3¢
Hunter Biden	0.3%	-0.3	-1.6	$5K	0.3¢
Beto O’Rourke	0.3%	-0.1	-0.2	$1K	0.3¢
Chelsea Clinton	0.2%	-5.7	-7.9	$1K	0.2¢
Oprah Winfrey	0.1%	-0.1	-0.8	$2K	0.1¢
Cory Booker	0.1%	-0.1	-0.5	$2K	0.2¢
Jon Stewart	0.1%	-0.1	-0.9	$3K	0.2¢
Phil Murphy	0.1%	-0.1	-1.0	$3K	0.2¢
George Clooney	0.1%	-0.1	-0.7	$2K	0.2¢
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson	0.1%	-0.1	-10.0	$2K	0.2¢
Andrew Yang	0.1%	-0.2	-1.1	$2K	0.2¢
Hillary Clinton	0.1%	-0.2	-0.7	$977	0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Alexandria Ocasio-CortezMarie Gluesenkamp PerezAdam HamiltonRob Sand

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 23% risks 23¢ to win 78¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Democratic VP Nominee 2028"?: As of November 6, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the favorite at 22.5%, followed by Marie Gluesenkamp Perez at 22.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $164K in total and $22K in the last 24 hours, with about $2.1M of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.