Resolved market scorecard
Gavin Newsom recalled before July?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 99.7%. $26K traded in total.
Result
No
resolved July 1, 2025
Price 1 day before
99.7%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
99.7%
30 days before: 99.1%
Volume
$26K
1 outcome
WildfireCaliforniaPoliticsLA Protests
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
his market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is officially recalled from his position as Governor of California by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the government of California however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Gavin Newsom recalled before July?" resolve?
- It resolved No around June 30, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 99.7% one week before and 99.1% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $26K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.