Resolved market scorecard
Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, –. $1.0M traded in total.
Result
No
resolved June 14, 2025
Price 1 day before
99.9%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$1.0M
1 outcome
PoliticsLA ProtestsTrumpTrump PresidencyLos Angeles
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is arrested between June 9, and June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?" resolve?
- It resolved No around June 13, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.0M across 1 outcome.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.