Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Candidate A at 50.0%, ahead of Candidate B at 50.0%. $3 traded across 26 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
PoliticsElectionsPrimariesUS Electionprimary elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 45.5% | +0.5 |
| Jon Stewart | 40.5% | +4.0 |
| Stephen A. Smith | 38.0% | +1.5 |
| Jon Ossoff | 37.5% | +0.5 |
| Rahm Emanuel | 37.0% | +0.5 |
| Cory Booker | 35.5% | -1.0 |
| J.B. Pritzker | 35.5% | -1.0 |
| Kamala Harris | 35.0% | -1.5 |
| Raphael Warnock | 35.0% | -1.0 |
| Gavin Newsom | 35.0% | -1.5 |
| Mark Kelly | 35.0% | -1.5 |
| Wes Moore | 35.0% | -1.0 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 35.0% | -1.0 |
| Andy Beshear | 35.0% | -1.5 |
| Ro Khanna | 35.0% | -1.5 |
| Michelle Obama | 35.0% | -1.5 |
| Bernie Sanders | 35.0% | -1.5 |
| James Talarico | 35.0% | -1.5 |
| Roy Cooper | 35.0% | -1.5 |
| Josh Shapiro | 35.0% | -1.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Nevada is expected to hold a Democratic presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Nevada Democratic primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Nevada public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 Nevada primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by the earliest of November 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the first day of the 2028 Democratic convention, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Candidate A is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Candidate B at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on February 2, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $3 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.