Live market data
Mexico: live prediction market odds
Every active Polymarket market mentioning Mexico, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.
Live markets
37
mentioning Mexico
Total volume
$1.4M
across live markets
Most traded
92%
No change in "Bank of Mexico Decision in December?"
Live markets about Mexico
| Market | Favorite | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Mexico Decision in December? closes December 17, 2026 | No change | 92.0% | +12.5 |
| Tamaulipas Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 59.0% | +9.0 |
| Guerrero Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 93.5% | +8.0 |
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 6? closes November 6, 2026 | 24°C | 50.0% | +36.5 |
| Tabasco Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 93.0% | +6.0 |
| Lowest temperature in Mexico City on November 5? closes November 5, 2026 | 11°C | 92.5% | +58.5 |
| Jalisco Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | MC | 52.5% | -1.0 |
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 7? closes November 7, 2026 | 24°C | 48.0% | 0.0 |
| Tlaxcala Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 84.0% | +13.5 |
| Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan | 36.0% | +0.5 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 75.0% | +2.0 |
| Mexico Legislative Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 89.2% | +0.8 |
| Guanajuato Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | PAN | 68.5% | +6.0 |
| Sinaloa Governor Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Imelda Castro Castro | 67.0% | -1.5 |
| Campeche Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 70.0% | +17.0 |
| Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November? closes December 4, 2026 | United States | 62.0% | 0.0 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 17.8% | -2.2 |
| Nayarit Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 84.5% | -1.5 |
| Nuevo León Governor Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Candidate A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Baja California Sur Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Party A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Mexico Annual Inflation 2026 closes January 9, 2027 | 3.50% to 3.99% | 60.8% | -0.8 |
| Quintana Roo Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 78.5% | -8.0 |
| Colima Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 73.0% | +6.0 |
| García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31, 2026 | 5.0% | +0.5 |
| Sonora Governor Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Lorenia Valles Sampedro | 57.0% | +1.0 |
| Chihuahua Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Party A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| State of Mexico Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 95.5% | 0.0 |
| Colima Governor Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera | 79.0% | +2.0 |
| Lowest temperature in Mexico City on November 6? closes November 6, 2026 | 12°C | 36.0% | -16.0 |
| San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Ruth González Silva | 67.5% | +0.5 |
| Aguascalientes Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | PAN | 67.0% | +11.5 |
| Nayarit Governor Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez | 79.0% | -1.9 |
| Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Antonio Martín del Campo | 54.5% | 0.0 |
| Yucatán Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 71.5% | +22.5 |
| Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place? closes June 7, 2027 | PAN | 72.0% | -1.5 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31, 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 |
| Mexico City Congress Election Winner closes June 7, 2027 | Morena | 71.0% | +0.5 |
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Recently resolved
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? November 5, 2026 | 25 bps decrease |
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 4? November 4, 2026 | 26°C |
| Lowest temperature in Mexico City on November 4? November 4, 2026 | 10°C |
| Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? October 30, 2026 | 3.0-3.5% |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in September? September 24, 2026 | No change |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in August? August 6, 2026 | No change |
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 24? July 24, 2026 | 27°C |
| England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time? July 5, 2026 | Yes |
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 1? July 1, 2026 | 24°C |
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 30? June 30, 2026 | 24°C |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...? June 30, 2026 | June 30 |
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 24? June 24, 2026 | 21°C |
About this page
Sheinbaum, tariffs and cartel markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds on Mexico right now?
- The most traded live market is "Bank of Mexico Decision in December?", where No change is priced at 92.0% as of November 6, 2026. 37 live markets mention Mexico.
- How do I bet on Mexico?
- These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.