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Live market data

Colima Governor Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera at 79.5%, ahead of Candidate A at 50.0%. $52K traded across 49 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

79.5%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera · Trade →

24h move

+2.5
pts · 7d -0.5

Volume

$52K
24h $97 · liquidity $185K

Closes

June 7, 2027
213 days left

MexicoPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera79.5% +2.5-0.5$27K3.0¢
Candidate A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate D50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate J50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate K50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate L50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate M50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate N50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate O50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate P50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate R50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate S50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Mario Delgado Carrillo5.9% -0.1+3.4$3K1.8¢
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez4.6% -2.5-1.3$3K8.6¢
Gabriela Benavides Cobos4.2% -0.1-1.8$1K2.0¢
Margarita Moreno González4.0% -1.5-6.0$1K5.5¢
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora1.1% +0.1-0.1$2K0.8¢
Joel Padilla Peña0.7% -0.3-0.2$1K0.2¢
Griselda Martínez Martínez0.6% 0.00.0$2K1.0¢
Mely Romero Celis0.4% -0.1-0.1$3K0.5¢
Viridiana Valencia Vargas0.1% 0.00.0$8350.3¢
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua0.1% -0.1-0.1$8720.3¢
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo0.1% 0.00.0$7520.3¢
Sofía Peralta Ferro0.1% 0.00.0$7700.3¢
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez0.1% 0.00.0$6590.2¢
María Cristina Lupien0.1% 0.00.0$8560.2¢
José Israel González0.1% 0.00.0$7820.2¢
César Yáñez Centeno0.1% 0.00.0$6520.1¢
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves0.1% 0.00.0$6100.1¢
José Manuel Romero Coello0.1% 0.00.0$6260.1¢
Enrique Rojas Orozco0.1% 0.00.0$6340.1¢
Esther Gutiérrez0.1% 0.00.0$6690.1¢
Hilda Lizette Moreno0.1% 0.00.0$5280.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%08-0609-2111-06
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

Market rules and resolution

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera at 80% risks 80¢ to win 20¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Colima Governor Election Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera is the favorite at 79.5%, followed by Candidate A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on June 7, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$52K in total and $97 in the last 24 hours, with about $185K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.