Who is favored in "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner"?

As of November 6, 2026, Imelda Castro Castro is the favorite at 66.5%, followed by Candidate A at 50.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on June 7, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$61K in total and $556 in the last 24 hours, with about $257K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

Live market data

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

Name: Sinaloa Governor Election Winner prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Imelda Castro Castro at 66.5%, ahead of Candidate A at 50.0%. $61K traded across 48 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

66.5%

Imelda Castro Castro · Trade →

24h move

-3.0

pts · 7d +12.0

Volume

$61K

24h $556 · liquidity $257K

Closes

June 7, 2027

213 days left

Mexico Politics Elections Main Election Global Elections

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Imelda Castro Castro	66.5%	-3.0	+12.0	$20K	7.0¢
Candidate A	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate B	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate C	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate D	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate E	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate F	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate G	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate H	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate I	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate J	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate K	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate L	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate M	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate N	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate O	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate P	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate Q	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate R	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate S	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate T	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate U	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate V	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate W	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate X	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate Y	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Candidate Z	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Other	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Mario Zamora Gastélum	20.5%	-1.6	-6.7	$4K	8.1¢
Paloma Sánchez Ramos	13.4%	+8.6	+5.7	$3K	6.4¢
María Fernanda Rivera	4.8%	-0.5	-1.3	$2K	8.1¢
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa	1.7%	+0.1	+0.1	$11K	1.8¢
Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros	0.6%	0.0	0.0	$2K	0.6¢
Graciela Domínguez Nava	0.5%	0.0	+0.1	$1K	0.7¢
Lucila Ayala de Moreschi	0.5%	0.0	+0.1	$1K	0.7¢
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo	0.5%	0.0	+0.1	$2K	0.7¢
Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez	0.5%	0.0	+0.1	$1K	0.7¢
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández	0.5%	0.0	+0.1	$916	0.7¢
Roxana Rubio Valdez	0.5%	+0.1	+0.3	$2K	0.7¢
Guillermo Romero Rodríguez	0.5%	+0.1	0.0	$1K	0.6¢
Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos	0.4%	0.0	0.0	$1K	0.7¢
Estrella Palacios Domínguez	0.4%	+0.1	0.0	$1K	0.5¢
Ricardo Madrid Pérez	0.4%	+0.1	0.0	$1K	0.5¢
Jesús Fernando García Hernández	0.4%	0.0	0.0	$1K	0.4¢
Sergio Torres Félix	0.4%	0.0	-0.1	$1K	0.6¢
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil	0.4%	0.0	-0.1	$1K	0.5¢
Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García	0.4%	0.0	-0.1	$1K	0.5¢
Omar López Campos	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$2K	0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Imelda Castro Castro

Market rules and resolution

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Imelda Castro Castro at 67% risks 67¢ to win 34¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner"?: As of November 6, 2026, Imelda Castro Castro is the favorite at 66.5%, followed by Candidate A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on June 7, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $61K in total and $556 in the last 24 hours, with about $257K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.